Monday, January 2, 2017

Rail Disaster - Bus

By Donald Smith, Waipio

Actual ridership on recent rail projects around the country has averaged 40 percent less than had been predicted. The last elevated system built achieved ridership that was 75.9 percent less than had been projected. The consultant who prepared that projection, Parsons Brinkerhoff, also prepared ours and could be even more wrong.

We could have bought 100 of these babies for less than 100 million.

The city claims that the percentage of commuters who use public transportation will increase from 6 percent to 7.4 percent once rail has been built. But most cities have experienced a decline in bus ridership, specially in places where business parks have been constructed in the outskirts. The combined rate for bus and rail has usually been less than was the rate for just the bus. It’s not too late to convert the existing guide way to use by bus rapid transit.

Beautiful Business Park in Kapolei, voted down by the Present Rail Party.
Could have been five thousand less commuters daily to Honolulu,
on freeways and buses.

Some of the saved money could then be used to reduce traffic congestion adding new traffic lanes to existing roads; and expanding Honolulu’s bus system, such as by increasing the number of express buses that go where commuters want to go, rather than eliminating most of them, as is part of the current rail plan.

"Yes, we all know, it was always the bread, Fred."

The original estimate was five billion dollars. But when so many of the Caldwell fat cats in Honolulu saw the "easy money," it went to six, seven and the latest is eight billion dollars. The experts on the Mainland are now talking no less the ten billion dollars. The Rail Disaster is now known as the "Gravy Train" to the "in crowd" at Honolulu Hale.  In the state building it is just referred to as "easy money."